Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Western and Northern Louisiana
East and Southeast Texas
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1025 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to intensify and increase in
coverage across the Watch area. A few semi-discrete storms are
expected to develop ahead of the main band of storms. The storms
developing ahead of the thunderstorm line will pose a risk for a few
tornadoes, including the possibility for a couple of strong
tornadoes. Damaging gusts will also be possible with the more
intense portions of a squall line expected to develop and move east
across the Watch area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Monticello AR to
70 miles east southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Smith
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Western and Northern Louisiana
East and Southeast Texas
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1025 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to intensify and increase in
coverage across the Watch area. A few semi-discrete storms are
expected to develop ahead of the main band of storms. The storms
developing ahead of the thunderstorm line will pose a risk for a few
tornadoes, including the possibility for a couple of strong
tornadoes. Damaging gusts will also be possible with the more
intense portions of a squall line expected to develop and move east
across the Watch area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Monticello AR to
70 miles east southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 1 TORNADO AR LA TX 051625Z - 060000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW LLQ/MONTICELLO AR/ - 70ESE UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /35S LIT - 52SSE LFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 34099091 30339304 30339573 34099370
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 1 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 1
VALID 051740Z - 051840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..01/05/25
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-011-013-017-019-025-027-039-041-043-057-073-079-091-099-
103-139-051840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY BRADLEY CALHOUN
CHICOT CLARK CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS DESHA
DREW HEMPSTEAD LAFAYETTE
LINCOLN MILLER NEVADA
OUACHITA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-067-069-073-
079-081-085-111-115-119-127-051840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE
UNION VERNON WEBSTER
WINN
$$
TXC005-073-199-203-225-241-291-315-339-347-351-365-373-401-403-
405-407-419-455-457-471-051840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE HARDIN
HARRISON HOUSTON JASPER
LIBERTY MARION MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON PANOLA
POLK RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SHELBY
TRINITY TYLER WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
