Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 5

   Mesoscale Discussion 0005
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0439 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...portions of southwest and south-central Kansas.

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 051039Z - 051545Z

   SUMMARY...Blizzard conditions developing.

   DISCUSSION...A deformation band has started to organize across
   southwest Kansas and the OK/northern TX Panhandles. As this rotates
   eastward, heavy snow with 1+ inch per hour rates are expected. In
   addition, strong winds are already present (sustained 31 mph at KGBD
   on the 956Z observation) and are expected to strengthen further over
   the next 3 to 6 hours. Temperatures are in the mid teens which
   should result in less dense snow and accentuate visibility
   reductions amid strong winds. This will likely result in some
   blizzard conditions across parts of southwest and south-central
   Kansas through the morning. 

   Freezing rain is falling across eastern portions of the MD area
   where warmer mid-level air has advected west to the north of the
   surface low. However, expect these areas to transition to snow after
   13-14Z once the surface low moves farther east.

   ..Bentley.. 01/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36990001 37430025 38430028 38700013 38789829 38609760
               38119746 37449791 37019823 36990001