Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 14

   Mesoscale Discussion 0014
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0319 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...central Louisiana into far southeast Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

   Valid 052119Z - 052245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
   risk for damaging wind gusts and a couple tornadoes from central
   Louisiana into far southeast Texas the remainder of the afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...A QLCS just ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
   will continue to pose a risk for isolated damaging gusts and a
   couple of tornadoes, especially across central Louisiana, over the
   next few hours. Additional more semi-discrete cells have developed
   across the modestly unstable warm sector ahead of the QLCS. This
   activity is occurring in a strongly sheared environment, supporting
   organized convection with intermittent rotation. However, stronger
   surface pressure falls and large-scale ascent will continue to shift
   northeast of this area. This may ultimately result in a somewhat
   suppressed severe risk compared to areas to the northeast across
   northeast LA into western MS.

   ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...

   LAT...LON   31989299 32149279 32159229 32059201 31839194 31269210
               30859237 30369289 30109400 30069458 30329477 31989299