Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 13

   Mesoscale Discussion 0013
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0202 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...far northeast Louisiana into west-central MS

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 2...

   Valid 052002Z - 052130Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 2 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado potential appears to be increasing across far
   northeast Louisiana into southwest Mississippi.

   DISCUSSION...A favorable environment for increased severe activity
   is developing across northeast LA into adjacent portions of
   west-central MS this afternoon. Temperatures have warmed into the
   upper 60s to low 70s amid cloud breaks, and surface dewpoints are in
   the 62-66 F range. This is allowing for some greater destabilization
   within an area of strong surface pressure falls (around 4 mb the
   past 2 hours) and greater low-level confluence. Semi-discrete
   convection ongoing in this area, as well as deepening convection
   moving into this region from central LA, may pose a greater tornado
   risk over the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

   LAT...LON   33139146 33349107 33269078 33069053 32769046 32259049
               31859083 31839139 31909176 32049192 32319194 32669169
               32759165 33139146