Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 11

   Mesoscale Discussion 0011
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

   Valid 051823Z - 052000Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

   SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the
   next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and
   vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree
   range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the
   eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this
   corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level
   confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown
   moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue
   to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of
   relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the
   next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front
   may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment.

   ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374
               31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210
               32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257