Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2316

   Mesoscale Discussion 2316
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0601 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

   Areas affected...eastern FL Panhandle to south GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 723...

   Valid 291201Z - 291300Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues.

   SUMMARY...Potential for strong to isolated severe gusts and a couple
   brief tornadoes will primarily be focused with the trailing portion
   of an extensive QLCS across the Florida Panhandle. It appears
   unlikely to exit WW 723 before 14Z expiration. A replacement WW that
   includes downstream areas in north Florida to southeast Georgia is
   being considered.

   DISCUSSION...The trailing portion of the extensive QLCS across the
   Southeast has been the lone area to produce a measured severe wind
   gust (50 kts at ECP) this morning. This portion of the line has sped
   up its forward progression, but still appears unlikely to exit WW
   723 prior to the scheduled expiration of 14Z. This acceleration
   tendency appears to be coupled with a slowing of the west-southwest
   to east-northeast oriented, non-severe part of the QLCS in southwest
   GA. The inflection where the north/south oriented line progresses
   across the leading outflow may augment 0-1 km SRH above the
   background shear of about 25 kts per the TLH VWP. This should
   sustain a continued damaging-wind and brief-tornado threat through
   late morning.

   ..Grams/Edwards.. 12/29/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30798491 30898445 30958411 31088374 31188337 31288300
               31288272 31188246 30968233 30598241 30298264 30018303
               29738340 29628469 29588499 29698553 30308534 30798491