Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2314

   Mesoscale Discussion 2314
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0306 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

   Areas affected...parts of GA to the FL Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 723...

   Valid 290906Z - 291030Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues.

   SUMMARY...Potential for brief tornadoes and sporadic damaging winds
   from strong gusts should persist through sunrise as a QLCS
   progresses across Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.

   DISCUSSION...Overall severe potential has subdued slightly in the
   early morning hours as the faster-moving/north-south oriented
   portion of the QLCS spread into GA from AL. Despite the presence of
   a 60-kt rear inflow jet per the MXX and EOX VWP data, measured
   surface gusts have largely ranged from 40-55 mph. The forward motion
   of this line at around 45 kts appears to be outpacing MLCAPE in
   excess of 500 J/kg. Still, low to mid 60s surface dew points have
   become common across central GA and will support scant to meager
   buoyancy downstream. This should be sufficient for a sporadic wind
   damage and brief tornado threat given the strong low-level
   winds/SRH.

   The trailing portion of the QLCS in the western FL Panhandle has
   been steadily moving east at around 25 kts, lagging well behind the
   west-central GA portion. Rich low-level moisture combined with
   sufficient shear will support potential for tornadogenesis and
   occasional strong gusts. These threats may tend to be focused near
   the coast where inflection in the large-scale convective outflow is
   maintained.

   ..Grams.. 12/29/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30208662 30838623 31228559 32158479 32988467 33738480
               34028395 34028316 33898273 33558256 33168249 32638267
               32148325 31488411 29808538 30208662