Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 712
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2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 712
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central into East/Southeast Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night from 615 PM until Midnight CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Supercells will pose a threat for large hail around 1-1.75
inches in diameter this evening. Eventual upscale growth into a line
may result in some threat for severe/damaging winds. A tornado or
two also appears possible this evening with any sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles east southeast
of Lufkin TX to 45 miles west southwest of College Station TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 712 SEVERE TSTM TX 250015Z - 250600Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5ESE LFK/LUFKIN TX/ - 45WSW CLL/COLLEGE STATION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /4NE LFK - 24E CWK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 30269467 29399707 31279707 32149467
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 712 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 712
VALID 250135Z - 250240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2277
..WEINMAN..12/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 712
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-015-021-041-051-055-073-089-149-161-185-201-225-287-
289-291-293-313-331-339-347-373-395-401-407-453-455-471-473-477-
491-250240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA AUSTIN
BASTROP BRAZOS BURLESON
CALDWELL CHEROKEE COLORADO
FAYETTE FREESTONE GRIMES
HARRIS HOUSTON LEE
LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE
MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES POLK ROBERTSON
RUSK SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (10%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.